Saturday, January 31, 2009

Super Bowl Prediction AZ 34 PIT 30

AZ is behind most of the game but a late 4th quarter FG by Neil Rackers gives AZ the lead and then their Defense stiffens and refuses to let Big Ben and the PIT offense score their needed TD.

Friday, January 30, 2009

2009 Fantasy Football Defenses Rankings

2009 Fantasy Football Defense Rankings

1 Baltimore
2 Philadelphia
3 Pittsburgh
4 Tampa Bay
5 Tennessee
6 Chicago
7 NewYork Jets
8 Green Bay
9 NY Giants
10 Minnesota
11 Miami
12 Arizona
13 Dallas
14 Indianapolis
15 Carolina
16 Oakland
17 Cleveland
18 Atlanta
19 Buffalo
20 San Diego *
21 San Francisco
22 New England *
23 Seattle
24 New Orleans
25 Cincinnati
26 Jacksonville*
27 Houston
28 Denver*
29 Washington
30 St Louis
31 Kansas City
32 Detroit

Visit www.FFGuidebook.com/ for more player rankings and projections

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

2009 Fantasy Football Kickers

Player Team Bye FG XP FP $$ Notes
1 S. Gostkowski NE 33 42 148
2 R Longwell MIN 33 41 146 Love those Domes
3 J Elam ATL 32 40 142 More scoring in 2009
4 David Akers PHI 30 45 140 Not many long Fgs
5 R Bironas TEN 30 40 138 Tons of 40+ FGs
6 K Brown HOU 30 36 132
7 G Hartley ** NO 27 40 128
8 Nick Folk** DAL 26 44 128
9 M Crosby GB 28 39 127
10 A. Vinatieri IND 25 45 123
11 Nate Kaeding SD 27 38 123
12 Neil Rackers AZ 30 26 121
13 J Kasay CAR 26 40 119 Any CAR K is good
14 Matt Bryant TB 28 33 118
15 John Carney NYG 27 35 117 Top 5 K drops out
16 J Nedney SF 27 35 117
17 Jason Hanson DET 25 34 116 8-8 from 50+
18 S Graham ** CIN 25 34 114
19 R Lindell BUF 26 33 114
20 J Brown STL 26 31 113
21 Praeter DEN 24 33 113
22 Robbie Gould CHI 22 38 113
23 Jeff Reed PIT 26 30 112
24 Matt Stover BAL 25 34 112
25 P Dawson CLE 27 27 111
26 D Carpenter MIA 22 35 109
27 M Nugent NYJ 25 30 107 ? J Feely
28 O Mare SEA 21 37 105 ??
29 S Janokowski OAK 22 32 104
30 Shaun Suisham WAS 24 28 102
31 Josh Scobee JAX 25 20 99
32 Connor Barth KC 20 30 95

More player rankings and projections for 2009 at www.FFGuidebook.com/

Monday, January 26, 2009

What is your preliminary top 12 for the 2009 season?

What is your preliminary top 12 for the 2009 season?
Assuming a 12 team league, start 2 RBs and 3 WRs, 4 pts per Pass TD, 6 Rush TD, 1 pt per 10 rushing/rec yds, 1 pt per 20 Passing yards, 1 PPR.
1. Matt Forte- He is Da Bears #1 resource, but his rank will be lower in a non-PPR league.
2. Adrian Peterson- Based on a 2009 with no injuries (fingers crossed).
3. Brian Westbrook- If McNabb is back, Westbrook excels for one more year.
4. Michael Turner - "Burner" Turner will only get better but may face a tougher schedule.
5. Marion Barber- Could be higher but hs bruising running style presents more of a chance for injuries.
6. M. Jones-Drew- Top 3 in 2008; the ony question will be if he can handle full RB duties.
7. Andre Johnson- The best WR and imagine if Schaub would stay healthy.
8. L Tomlinson- The question is if LT will be at SD. Sproles looks mighty good right now.
9. De Williams- RBBC with Jonathan Stewart lowers his rank a bit.
10. L. Fitzgerald- Perhaps the best WR but loses some stats when there are two other 1000 yard WRs on the team (Boldin, Breaston).
11. Brandon Marshall- Imagine what he can do with a full season and no distractions; surely the new HC will not waste this asset.
12. Drew Brees- 5000 yards and such consistency. I see nothing to slow his passing stats down. Heck maybe Shockey will catch a TD pass in 2009.
Honorable Mention: Steven Jackson.

As seen at www.FantasyIndex.com "Ask the Expert" a weekly column. Also available at www.FFGuidebook.com/blog

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Who was the fantasy MVP?

I nominate Matt Forte and Tony Gonzalez as Fantasy Co-MVPs. Both far exceeded their ADP and provided their owners with a great chance at a championship. Tony G finished the last 10 games of the season with a 7.5/90/1 average per game (on his way to 96/1058/10 TDs). Take a good look because he was Mr. Consistency (only 1 multiple TD game, instead he produced 9 games with TDs)-talk about money in the bank! Matt Forte delivered consistently as well. 13.5 fantasy points in PPR leagues was his lowest score this season. For the year, the rookie had 1238 yards rushing and 8 TDs, but more importantly he caught 63 passes for 477 yards and 4 TDs. Neither were drafted higher than the 4th round in most leagues yet they performed like first round studs.

NOTE: the Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSTA) offically named DeAngelo Williams CAR RB as the Fantasy Football 2008 Player of the Year.


As seen in ASK THE EXPERTS, Fantasy Football Index's Expert column found at http://www.fantasyindex.com. ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly with answers to a new question posted Thursday morning.

Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, an Award-Winning Finalist in the Sports category of the National Best Books 2008 Awards, sponsored by USA Book News, available at his website, http://www.ffguidebook.com, at all major bookstores, and at www.amazon.com. He is an 18-year fantasy football veteran who has teams in the World Championship of Fantasy Football (WCOFF), National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC), NBC Sports Fantasy Championship and the inaugural season of the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).

TE Rankings and Projections for 2008 Fantasy Football Season

Player Team REC Yards TDs FP
1 J Witten DAL 90 900 10 240
2 A Gates SD 75 920 9 221
3 T Gonzalez KC 85 900 6 220
4 D Clark IND 80 900 6 215
5 C Cooley WAS 85 850 5 200
6 K Winslow CLE 75 800 6 191
7 O Daniels HOU 70 850 5 185
8 T Scheffler DEN 60 800 6 176
9 V Shianacoe MIN 50 600 7 152
10 K Boss NYG 50 600 6 146
11 J Shockey NO 65 600 3 143
12 G Olsen CHI 55 560 5 141
13 J Carlson SEA 55 580 4 137
14 H Miller PIT 50 500 4 124
15 Z Miller OAK 50 650 1 121
16 D Keller NYJ 45 450 4 114
17 B Scaife TEN 50 500 2 112
18 A Fassano MIA 30 400 6 106
19 M Lewis JAX 40 400 4 104
20 T Heap BAL 40 450 3 103

Visit www.FFGuidebook for more player rankings and projections and pick up your copy of the Fantasy Football Almanac 2009 ($12.95 at amazon.com and BN.com, out on 1 May) for complete rankings and projections at every position (including IDP).

Friday, January 23, 2009

WR Fantasy Football Rankings and Projections for 2009

1 Andre Johnson HOU 105 1500 8 303
2 Larry Fitzgerald AZ 95 1400 10 295
3 Anquan Boldin AZ 100 1200 12 292
4 Brandon Marshal DEN 100 1400 8 288
5 Greg Jennings GB 80 1300 10 270
6 Roddy White ATL 85 1400 7 267
7 Steve Smith CAR 80 1400 7 262
8 Calvin Johnson DET 75 1300 9 259
9 Marques Colston NO 75 1300 9 259
10 Reggie Wayne IND 80 1200 9 254
11 Randy Moss NE 80 1100 10 250
12 Wes Welker NE 110 1200 3 248
13 Dwayne Bowe KC 90 1100 8 248
14 Terrell Owens DAL 70 1000 10 230
15 Antonio Bryant TB 70 1100 8 228
16 TJ Houshmandz+ CIN? 95 1000 5 225
17 Braylon Edwards CLE 70 1000 9 224
18 Lance Moore NO 75 1000 8 223
19 Chad Johnson CIN? 70 1100 7 222
20 Eddie Royal DEN 90 1000 5 220

Visit www.FFGuidebook.com/ for more 2009 Player Rankings and Projections

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Top 20 Fantasy Football Running Backs for 2009

1 Matt Forte CHI-Da Bears only weapon=lots of touches
2 Adrian Peterson MIN-Third year is the charm, no injuries (fingers crossed)
3 Brian Westbrook PHI-In a PPR league he is money in the bank
4 Michael Turner ATL-"burner" is the future of ATL, schedule may be tougher
5 Marion Barber DAL-16 games in 2009 make him Top 5
6 Steven Jackson STL-New coach, new SJAX
7 M. Jones-Drew JAX-Drops some due to worry full time roll may have
8 L Tomlinson SD-Older.......with SD in 2009??? Sproles looks pretty good
9 De Williams CAR-RBBC with Jonathan Stewart has me lowering expectations
10 Clinton Portis WAS-#1 RB for most of 2008. Top 10 despite coach/RB issues
11 Frank Gore SF-If SF was not so far behind most of the 2nd half each game
12 Steve Slaton Hou-A little sophmore slump
13 Chris Johnson TEN-RBBC means out of Top 10
14 Thomas Jones NYJ-Another QB to deal w means fall in standings for my Wahoo
15 Marshawn Lynch BUF-Fred Jackson is just waiting in the wings
16 Brandon Jacobs NYG-Durability issues
17 Pierre Thomas NO-Can a sleeper technically have done so well the yr prior?
18 Reggie Bush NO-Points per reception (PPR) baby!
19 Ronne Brown MIA-MIA will not surprise anyone this year. Good run game
20 Joseph Addai IND-Not a Top 5 RB but a Top 20 for sure. Injury issues.

Visit http://www.ffguidebook.com for all the latest information on the May 2009 release of Fantasy Football Almanac 2009 as well as info on Fantasy Football Guidebook.

Sunday, January 18, 2009

2009 QB Rankings and Explanations

2009 QB Rankings

These Rankings are based on 4 points per passing TD, 6 points per rushing TD (# not shown here), 1 point per 25 yards passing. One point is subtracted for every interception thrown. Be sure to visit http://www.ffguidebook.com/ for more updates all offseason or to look at the QBs 2009 projections.


1 D Brees NO - Duh! 5000 yards passing in 08'
2 P. Manning IND -Always a Top 3 QB
3 T Romo DAL - Recovers from 08' injuries
4 A Rodgers GB - Have you seen his 08' stats? 4000 yds and 28 TDs
5 J Cutler DEN - New coach, tons of weaposn
6 M Cassel/ Brady NE - Hedging my bets with who will start
7 P Rivers SD -More LT = Less Passing TDs
8 K Warner/Leinart AZ - 3 x 1000 yd WRs...need I say more
9 S Hill SF -Sleeper-if he starts, great finish in 08'
10 D McNabb PHI -Slowly regressing but still good
11 T Thigpen KC -08’ darling gets better, question is does Tony Gonzlaez stay at TE
12 C Palmer CIN -Check health status in offseason, huge risk/reward here
13 C Pennington MIA -Steady wins the race.
14 M Schaub* HOU -Injury concerns make me rank him lower based on just a 14 game season, if he starts all 16-IF IF IF....move him up to Top 10.
15 D Garrard JAX -Steady but needs the Jags running game to gel, or better yet the OL
16 B Roethlisberger PIT -Healthy RBs mean less passes and Ward is a year older.
17 T Jackson MIN -If he starts and stays he could be a big sleeper, but I have been burnt on the M Vicks and V Youngs too much in the past, so not so quick this time to declare him King.
18 M Hasslebach SEA -New coach Mora wants to run more, if healthy could be worth the chance
19 Eli Manning NYG -200 yards per game average is nothing to brag about FF wise
20 Matt Ryan ATL- Everything flows through Michael "burner" Turner
21 J Delhomme CAR -Too many health concerns and a playoff collapse in 08'
22 Favre/Clemmons NYJ -whoever starts expect lots of INTs
23 K Orton CHI - CHI Offense is an oxymoron; Matt Forte is the star
24 J Campbell WAS -Which new Off scheme will he have to learn this year?
25 Joe Flacco BAL - Steady improvement but nothing to get excited about
26 Ja Russell OAK -Oakland, need I say more
27 M Bulger STL -Health concerns and a new coach, Holt lost a step too
28 Brady Quinn CLE -Deep sleeper
29 T Edwards BUF -Not consistent
30 J Kitna/Orlosky DET -QB controversy, 0-16 in 08'
31 J Garcia TB -New coach, time is running out
32 K Collins TEN -Running backs TEN has, WRs no
33 S Rosenfels HOU -Great insurance for Schaub
34 V Young TEN -Check mental state, but potential is there, see T Jax above.

How do you see the remainder of the postseason playing out?

PIT vs. BAL will be a great game as two tough defenses face off. To quote Yogi Berra, "It's like déjà vu all over again" as a rookie QB advances to the AFC Championship game. And just like Roethlisberger in 2004, Flacco will lose. PHI should win at AZ as McNabb makes a last attempt at a Super Bowl ring; that’s right a Pennsylvania Super Bowl, PIT vs. PHI. And the winner is……………… the Eagles with McNabb and Westbrook sharing MVP honors in the 43rd Super Bowl, denying Pittsburgh a 6th ring and joining the Phillies as world champions in the same year.

As seen in ASK THE EXPERTS, Fantasy Football Index's Expert column found at http://www.fantasyindex.com. ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly with answers to a new question posted Thursday morning.

Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, an Award-Winning Finalist in the Sports category of the National Best Books 2008 Awards, sponsored by USA Book News, available at his website, http://www.ffguidebook.com, at all major bookstores, and at www.amazon.com. He is an 18-year fantasy football veteran who has teams in the World Championship of Fantasy Football (WCOFF), National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC), NBC Sports Fantasy Championship and the inaugural season of the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).

Saturday, January 17, 2009

2009 Fantasy Footbal QB Rankings and Projections

Here they are.
Scoring based on 4 pts per passing TD, 6 pts per rushing TD, 1 pt per 25 passing yards and -1 pt per interception.

Of course, these rankings will change a bit as the off season continues.
You can find the most current rankings and projections in Fantasy Football Almanac 2009 out 1 May and available at amazon.com, BN.com and FFGuidebook.com

I will provide more analysis on the why and where next post. Enjoy!


Player Team P Yds TD INT MISC FP
1 D Brees NO 4800 32 16 304
2 P Manning IND 4000 31 12 1 Rtd 278
3 T Romo DAL 4200 30 17 1 Rtd 277
4 A Rodgers GB 4000 28 15 3 Rtd 275
5 J Cutler DEN 4500 25 18 2 Rtd 274
6 M Cassel/ Brady NE 4000 26 12 2 Rtd 264
7 P Rivers SD 4000 26 12 252
8 K Warner/Leinar AZ 4000 27 16 252
9 S Hill SF 4000 24 18 2 Rtd 250
10 D McNabb PHI 3800 24 12 2 Rtd 248
11 T Thigpen KC 3500 24 16 3 Rtd 238
12 C Palmer CIN 3800 25 20 232
13 C Pennington MIA 3800 20 8 224
14 M Schaub* HOU 4000 20 16 Inj rsk 224
15 D Garrard JAX 3800 18 14 2 Rtd 222
16 B Roethlisberge PIT 3300 19 15 2 Rtd 208
17 T Jackson MIN 3000 23 20 2 Rtd 206
18 M Hasslebach SEA 3400 21 15 205
19 Eli Manning NYG 3200 22 12 204
20 Matt Ryan ATL 3600 18 14 202
21 J Delhomme CAR 3200 14 10 2 Rtd 202
22 Favre/Clemmons NYJ 3400 20 20 196
23 K Orton CHI 3000 18 12 2 Rtd 192
24 J Campbell WAS 3300 15 8 184
25 Joe Flacco BAL 3000 14 14 2 Rtd 174
26 Ja Russell OAK 2700 14 10 3 Rtd 172
27 M Bulger STL 3200 16 20 172
28 Brady Quinn CLE 3200 16 20 172
29 T Edwards BUF 3000 17 25 171
30 J Kitna/Orlosky DET 3000 18 25 167
31 J Garcia TB 2700 17 12 164
32 K Collins TEN 2400 12 10 134
33 S Rosenfels HOU
34 V Young TEN

Friday, January 16, 2009

Carson Palmer pick as #3 QB erases chance at Fantasy Football Index magazine 2008 Experts Ranking title for Sam Hendricks

Roland Wood and the guys at Dynasty Rogues are the winners of the 18th
annual Experts Poll hosted by Fantasy Football Index magazine. Wood
outscored the other 19 experts in the quarterbacks competition, and that
allowed him to sneak past a handful of other contenders and win this year¹s
competition.

With Carson Palmer as the #3 QB in my rankings I knew things looked bleak heading into the final round of Fantasy Football Index magazines 2008 Experts Ranking title. These rankings were submitted in May of 2008 by 20 Experts and Fantasy Football Index magazine itself. I finished 7th in Defenses and 2nd in Kickers. TEs were a disappointment as I dropped to 6th overall after they were graded. WRs and RBs dropped us slightly in the overall standings but Carson Palmer (along with T. Brady at #1) sank us at QB and denied us a spot in the Fantasy Football Index 2009 Experts League. Look for my picks again this year and I promise a top finish in 2009.

In this competition, which dates back to 1991, every pick is scored in varying
degrees. The higher you rank a player, the more points he scores for you in
the poll so the experts are graded on essentially all of the significant
players. Drew Brees, for example, was the highest scoring quarter back in
this scoring format, scoring 389 points. If you ranked Brees No. 1 on your
board, that would be worth 7787 points 20 multiplied by 389. If you ranked
Brees 5th, you would get 5840 points (15 x 389). If you had Brees 19th, you
would have gotten 779 points (2 x 389).

The top 11 finishers in this poll earn spots in the magazine's 2009 Experts
League, which will be published in the upcoming edition of the magazine. And
draft order in that league is determined by the order of finish in this
competition. There¹s also a 12th spot in that league that goes to a Fantasy Football Index subscriber.

Wood compiled a solid overall card to win the competition. He fared poorly
in kickers (17th) and below-average in wide receivers (14th), but he was
very good in all of the other categories 1st in defenses, 2nd in running
backs and 3rd in tight ends.

And his win at quarterback allowed him to win the whole deal. Former
champion Scott Pianowski (Yahoo!) finished 2nd, and perennial contender
Michael Nazarek (Fantasy Football Mastermind) took 3rd. Look for my predictions, projections and rankings in Fantasy Football Almanac 2009 available on May 1 in online retailers such as amazon.com, BN.com and at my website www.FFGuidebook.com

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Fantasy Football Guidebook holds 6th place overall in Fantasy Football Index magazines 2008 Expert Rankings after TEs

Tommy Stephens of FANTASY FOOTBALL EDGE is the winner of the Tight Ends
portion of the 2008 Experts Poll hosted by Fantasy Football Index magazine.

This is from the poll that is published in the magazine - 20 experts listing
their top 20 at each position. Every pick is scored. And in the tight ends
portion of the competition, Stephens is the winner. He was followed by
Michael Nazarek (FANTASY FOOTBALL MASTERMIND) and Roland Wood (DYNASTY
ROGUES).

Nazarek, meanwhile, has moved into first place in the overall competition,
with Wood and Scott Endsley (FANTASY DRAFT EDGE). The three most important
positions - QB, RB, WR - are still in play, so it's wide open. Thus far,
Endsley has put together the most impressive scorecard, ranking in the top 5
in all three positions (defenses, kickers and tight ends).

The poll, started in 1991, is different from other experts competition in
that every expert has to take a stand on every significant player - every
pick is scored. If an expert ranks a player No. 1 at a position, that
player's actual fantasy production is multiplied by 20. If an expert ranks a
player No. 2, the player's production is multiplied by 19. If the expert
ranks a player No. 3, the multiplier number is 18, and so on.

In case of Stephens, for example, he ranked Jason Witten as his top tight
end. Witten finished with 119.2 points in this scoring system, so that
choice was worth 2,384 points to Stephens (119.2 x 20). Looking at Stephens'
overall board, there isn't any knockout-type that lifted him ahead of
everyone else. He was one of the few to put Witten ahead of Antonio Gates;
that got him a few points. And he was among the highest on Owens Daniels
(8th) and Tony Scheffler (7th), and they both had solid years. Regardless,
when you add them all up, he's the winner.

Fantasy Football Index isn't an official part of this poll. We administrate
and score the deal, so we've always taken a step back on this thing. It
seems like the right thing to do. Unlike the experts, for example, we would
have the ability to go back in and tinker with our rankings after the
mid-May deadline. For this year, we would have had the ability to bail out
on Cedric Benson and Travis Henry, who ran into off-field problems after the
experts deadline but before our print deadline. But we always plug in our
magazine picks to see how they compare. So far, we're off to our worst
showing ever in the Experts Poll - below-average in all three positions.

The top 11 finishers in this poll earn spots in the magazine's 2009 Experts
League, which will be published in the upcoming edition of the magazine.
Whichever expert finishes first in the overall poll will get his choice of
draft position; the 2nd-place finisher will get second choice of draft
spots, and so on. The 12th and final draft spot will go to a Fantasy
Football Index reader.


FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, TIGHT ENDS

Points
18,520 Tommy Stephens (fantasyfootballedge.net)
18,397 Michael Nazarek (ffmastermind.com)
18,225 Roland Wood (dynastyrogues.com)
18,203 Bob Henry (footballguys.com)
18,141 Scott Endsley (fantasydraftedge.com)
18,081 Greg Alan (4for4.com)
18,028 Craig Davis (fantasyfootball.com)
18,004 Jeffrey Kamys (docstats.com)
17,971 Greg Rosenthal (rotoworld.com)
17,890 Scott Pianowski (Yahoo Sports)
17,857 Christopher Liss (rotowire.com)
17,827 David Dorey (thehuddle.com)
17,754 Louis Tranquilli (bfdfantasyfootball.com)
17,740 Lenny Pappano (draftsharks.com)
17,716 James Serra (footballsoftward.com)
17,657 Sam Hendricks (ffguidebook.com)
17,655 Ryan Houston (fanball.com)
17,539 Nathan Zegura (thefantasyconsultant.com)
17,404 Dan Bakley (thefantasypoint.com)
14,978 Kevin Marshall (draftwizard.com)

17,459 * Fantasy Football Index magazine picks

* -- magazine not official part of poll.


FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, CURRENT OVERALL
(includes kickers and defense/special teams)

Points
73,866 Michael Nazarek (ffmastermind.com)
73,859 Scott Endsley (fantasydraftedge.com)
73,426 Roland Wood (dynastyrogues.com)
73,345 Jeffrey Kamys (docstats.com)
73,289 Scott Pianowski (Yahoo Sports)
72,982 Sam Hendricks (ffguidebook.com)
72,974 Bob Henry (footballguys.com)
72,872 David Dorey (thehuddle.com)
72,818 Greg Alan (4for4.com)
72,729 Christopher Liss (rotowire.com)
72,710 Louis Tranquilli (bfdfantasyfootball.com)
72,622 James Serra (footballsoftward.com)
72,470 Tommy Stephens (fantasyfootballedge.net)
72,468 Dan Bakley (thefantasypoint.com)
72,204 Lenny Pappano (draftsharks.com)
72,198 Greg Rosenthal (rotoworld.com)
72,122 Ryan Houston (fanball.com)
70,400 Nathan Zegura (thefantasyconsultant.com)
69,689 Craig Davis (fantasyfootball.com)
68,458 Kevin Marshall (draftwizard.com)

71,016 * Fantasy Football Index magazine picks

* -- magazine not official part of poll.



Tight ends were given 6 points for each touchdown and 1 point for every 10
yards. No points for receptions. Final scoring was as follows ...

Points (No-Yds-TD)
165.8 Tony Gonzalez (96-1058-10)
120.8 Dallas Clark (77-848-6)
119.2 Jason Witten (81-952-4)
118.4 Antonio Gates (60-704-8)
101.6 Visanthe Shiancoe (42-596-7)
98.2 Owen Daniels (70-862-2)
92.7 John Carlson (55-627-5)
90.9 Chris Cooley (83-849-1)
87.4 Anthony Fasano (34-454-7)
87.4 Greg Olsen (54-574-5)
83.8 Zach Miller (56-778-1)
82.4 Tony Scheffler (40-644-3)
74.4 Kevin Boss (33-384-6)
71.5 Dustin Keller (48-535-3)
69.4 Heath Miller (48-514-3)
68.1 Bo Scaife (58-561-2)
63.9 Billy Miller (45-579-1)
63.0 David Martin (31-450-3)
62.9 Daniel Graham (32-389-4)
60.9 Marcedes Lewis (41-489-2)
60.8 Kellen Winslow (43-428-3)
60.3 Donald Lee (39-303-5)
58.3 Todd Heap (35-403-3)
52.3 Martellus Bennett (20-283-4)
51.7 Jerramy Stevens (36-397-2)
48.9 Vernon Davis (31-369-2)
48.3 Jeremy Shockey (50-483-0)
47.8 L.J. Smith (37-298-3)
43.0 Alex Smith (21-250-3)
42.7 Desmond Clark (41-367-1)
41.1 Robert Royal (33-351-1)
32.9 Benjamin Watson (22-209-2)
31.7 Alge Crumpler (24-257-1)
25.5 Jeff King (21-195-1)
19.4 Chris Baker (21-194-0)
13.9 Randy McMichael (11-139-0)
13.6 Matt Spaeth (17-136-0)
12.3 Ben Utecht (16-123-0)
7.7 Leonard Pope (9-77-0)
2.9 Will Heller (4-29-0)
2.6 Ben Hartsock (3-26-0)
.0 Eric Johnson (0-0-0)

Monday, January 12, 2009

Fantasy Football Guidebook places 2nd in Fantasy Index magazines 2008 Expert Poll Kickers

Jeffrey Kamys of Dr. Stats Fantasy Sports is the winner of the kickers
portion of the 2008 Experts Poll hosted by Fantasy Football Index magazine.

After all 20 picks by all 20 experts were weighed and graded, Kamys earned
enough points to edge Sam Hendricks (Fantasy Football Guidebook) and
defending champion Dan Bakley (The Fantasy Point) for first place in this
category.

Scott Endsley of FantasyDraftEdge.com, meanwhile, earned enough points to
move to the top of the overall leaderboard. Endsley finished in 4th at
kickers and was 3rd in the defense category. Fantasy Football Guidebooks Sam Hendricks is the only other Expert to have finished in the top 8 in both categories so far.

Michael Nazarek (Fantasy Football Mastermind) and 2006 Scott Pianowski
(Yahoo! Sports) currently sit at second and third place on the overall
board, but it's still early. Yet to come are the results for quarterbacks,
running backs, wide receivers and tight ends, and those positions play a
bigger role in determining the overall champion - we're just getting warmed
up.

The poll, started in 1991, is different from other experts competition in
that every expert has to take a stand on every significant player - every
pick is scored. If an expert ranks a player No. 1 at a position, that
player's actual fantasy production is multiplied by 20. If an expert ranks a
player No. 2, the player's production is multiplied by 19. If the expert
ranks a player No. 3, the multiplier number is 18, and so on.

The scoring system isn't necessarily ideal. An expert is severely punished,
for example, if he lists a player who gets hurt. That's why the Fantasy
Football Index picks fared so poorly this year when compared to the field of
experts. We were high on the two New York kickers, Lawrence Tynes and Mike
Nugent. Both of those teams put up lots of kicking points, but when Tynes
and Nugent got hurt, it destroyed our draft board in that category.

Kamys had a noteworthy boo-boo in this category when he ranked Shayne Graham
3rd overall, but most others also had the Cincinnati kicker in their top 10.
Kamys separated himself from the field by ranking Matt Bryant (113 points)
13th - only four other experts listed Bryant at all - and by being lower
than the others on Josh Scobee (not even listed) and Adam Vinatieri (just
7th).

The top 11 finishers in this poll earn spots in the magazine's 2009 Experts
League, which will be published in the upcoming edition of the magazine.
Whichever expert finishes first in the overall poll will get his choice of
draft position; the 2nd-place finisher will get second choice of draft
spots, and so on. The 12th and final draft spot will go to a Fantasy
Football Index reader.

The final results for the tight ends position will be posted Friday.

FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, KICKERS

Points
24,051 Jeffrey Kamys (docstats.com)
23,879 Sam Hendricks (ffguidebook.com)
23,736 Dan Bakley (thefantasypoint.com)
23,732 Scott Endsley (fantasydraftedge.com)
23,717 Greg Rosenthal (rotoworld.com)
23,643 David Dorey (thehuddle.com)
23,590 Lenny Pappano (draftsharks.com)
23,569 Ryan Houston (fanball.com)
23,564 Louis Tranquilli (bfdfantasyfootball.com)
23,539 Scott Pianowski (Yahoo Sports)
23,482 Christopher Liss (rotowire.com)
23,462 James Serra (footballsoftward.com)
23,395 Michael Nazarek (ffmastermind.com)
23,218 Tommy Stephens (fantasyfootballedge.net)
23,127 Bob Henry (footballguys.com)
23,121 Greg Alan (4for4.com)
22,753 Roland Wood (dynastyrogues.com)
22,488 Kevin Marshall (draftwizard.com)
21,733 Nathan Zegura (thefantasyconsultant.com)
20,935 Craig Davis (fantasyfootball.com)

22,161 Fantasy Football Index (not officially included in poll).



FANTASY INDEX EXPERTS POLL, CURRENT OVERALL
(includes kickers and defense/special teams)

Points
55,718 Scott Endsley (fantasydraftedge.com)
55,469 Michael Nazarek (ffmastermind.com)
55,399 Scott Pianowski (Yahoo Sports)
55,341 Jeffrey Kamys (docstats.com)
55,325 Sam Hendricks (ffguidebook.com)
55,201 Roland Wood (dynastyrogues.com)
55,064 Dan Bakley (thefantasypoint.com)
55,045 David Dorey (thehuddle.com)
54,956 Louis Tranquilli (bfdfantasyfootball.com)
54,906 James Serra (footballsoftward.com)
54,872 Christopher Liss (rotowire.com)
54,771 Bob Henry (footballguys.com)
54,737 Greg Alan (4for4.com)
54,467 Ryan Houston (fanball.com)
54,464 Lenny Pappano (draftsharks.com)
54,227 Greg Rosenthal (rotoworld.com)
53,950 Tommy Stephens (fantasyfootballedge.net)
53,480 Kevin Marshall (draftwizard.com)
52,861 Nathan Zegura (thefantasyconsultant.com)
51,661 Craig Davis (fantasyfootball.com)

53,557 *Fantasy Football Index (not officially included in poll).



Kickers were given 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra point. No
extra credit was awarded for kicks of 50-plus yards, which really hurt Jason
Hanson (NFL-record 8 field goals of 50-plus).

Kicker points for the poll were as follows ...

148 Stephen Gostkowski
144 David Akers
131 Matt Bryant
130 John Kasay
129 Jason Elam
127 Mason Crosby
127 Nate Kaeding
127 Rob Bironas
127 Ryan Longwell
124 Kris Brown
124 Rian Lindell
122 Matt Stover
121 Joe Nedney
119 Neil Rackers
119 Robbie Gould
117 Jeff Reed
112 Josh Brown
111 Jay Feely
108 Phil Dawson
103 Adam Vinatieri
103 Shaun Suisham
102 Nick Folk
102 Olindo Mare
97 Sebastian Janikowski
90 Josh Scobee
88 Jason Hanson
78 Shayne Graham
34 Martin Gramatica
6 Lawrence Tynes
2 Mike Nugent

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Sam Hendricks (Fantasy Football Guidebook) takes 7th (of 20 Experts) in Fantasy Football Index magazine Rankings for Defenses

WOOD TAKES EARLY LEAD IN FANTASY INDEX POLL

Roland Wood is the early leader as final tabulation begins of the 2008
Fantasy Football Index Experts Poll. Wood, of the Dynasty Rogues company,
scored 32,448 points in the Defense / Special Teams category, the first of
six different sections that will be graded over the next week.

Michael Nazarek of Fantasy Football Mastermind and Scott Endsley of
FantasyDraftEdge.com were the other medalists in this category.

Final points are as follows ...

Points
32448 Wood
32074 Nazarek
31986 Endsley
31860 Pianowski
31644 Henry
31616 Alan
31446 Hendricks
31444 Serra
31402 Dorey
31392 Tranquilli
31390 Liss
31328 Bakley
31290 Kamys
31128 Zegura
30992 Marshall
30898 Houston
30874 Pappano
30732 Stephens
30726 Davis
30510 Rosenthal

31396 *Fantasy Football Index (magazine picks)

* -- magazine score is for exhibition purposes only; Fantasy Football Index
is not eligible to win the poll.


The top 11 finishers in this poll earn spots in the magazine's 2009 Experts
League, which will be published in the upcoming edition of the magazine.
Whichever expert finishes first in the overall poll will get his choice of
draft position; the 2nd-place finisher will get second choice of draft
spots, and so on. The 12th and final draft spot will go to a Fantasy
Football Index reader.

The poll, started in 1991, is different from other experts competition in
that every expert has to take a stand on every significant player -- every
pick is scored. If an expert ranks a player No. 1 at a position, that
player's actual fantasy production is multiplied by 20. If an expert ranks a
player No. 2, the player's production is multiplied by 19. If the expert
ranks a player No. 3, the multiplier number is 18, and so on.

In the Defense/ST category, for example, Wood scored well against the field
by ranking the Jets 11th -- 5 spots higher than any other expert. The Jets
scored 178 points, so Wood earned 1,780 points for that pick (10 x 178).
Wood also fared well by ranking the Patriots 15th -- 5 spots lower than any
other experts. New England's defense had a lousy year (fantasy wise), but it
didn't hurt Wood as much as the rest of the field (half of the experts had
New England among their top 4 defenses).

Defenses were scored on the system of 6 points for touchdowns and 2 points
for each sack, safety, interception or fumble recovery. No points were
awarded for offensive fumble recoveries, fake field goals or fake punts.

Points used in the scoring of the defensive portion of the poll were as
follows ...

Points
198 Philadelphia
180 Pittsburgh
178 Baltimore
178 NY Jets
176 Dallas
174 Tennessee
170 Minnesota
164 Green Bay
160 Tampa Bay
158 Arizona
158 Chicago
154 Miami
152 NY Giants
146 Oakland
136 Carolina
136 Indianapolis
134 Seattle
130 San Diego
124 Atlanta
122 Buffalo
120 New Orleans
120 San Francisco
118 St. Louis
114 Cleveland
112 Houston
112 Jacksonville
112 New England
108 Detroit
100 Cincinnati
96 Kansas City
90 Denver
90 Washington

Saturday, January 10, 2009

2008 fantasy leagues

The Holidays are over. Time to get back to the fantasy week.
Let’s review how I did in 2008 in my fantasy leagues.

Highlight has to be my 7th place overall finish in the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC). This event had 180 of the best fantasy football players competing for a $75,000 1st place check. Going into the last weekend I was 2nd, but a super human effort by fantasy football player DeAngelo Williams (108 yards rushing and 4 TDs = 34.8 points) left me in 7th place. Still a top 5% finish!

Fantasy Football Players Championship 7th overall (7 of 180) for a top 5% finish


As far as my other 13 fantasy league football:

League Results
Fantasy Index Expert Auction 2nd Place Overall
FFPC Satellite #17 2nd place
NFL.com 2nd place
Diehards Expert league 3rd place
Lakenheath Local League Playoffs- 3rd place
WCOFF Satellite #51 Playoffs


NFFC Consolation Round 65th of 270
NBC Consolation Round 45th of 209
Draftbook Expert League 5th place

NFFC Satellite Did not make playoffs
NBC Satellite Did not make playoffs
Experts.com Expert League Did not make playoffs
FFOC 1st and Goal bracket Did not make playoffs

So 7 playoff appearances in 14 leagues, don’t forget that most of these leagues are either Expert leagues (where I faced the best experts in a fantasy mock draft) or high stake leagues (where the best of the best compete). FFOC was one team versus 6000 for a chance at a million bucks. Hey you never know……………..

Please check my website (www.FFGuidebook.com) and this blog often in the coming weeks as you get ready for your fantasy football draft, NFL fantasy football and all my 2009 fantasy drafts.