Friday, October 24, 2014

Friday Injury Updates for Week 8 FF, Reggie Wayne, Owen Daniels-OUT


Charles Clay-Probable

Shane Vereen-Questionable (DNP F)
Trent Richardson-Q (GTD?)
Harry Douglas-Q (GTD)
Darren Sproles-Q

Calvin Johnson-GTD

AJ Green-Doubtful
Reggie Bush-D (GTD-says he will play?)

Owen Daniels-OUT
Reggie Wayne-OUT
Fred Jackson-OUT
DeAngelo Williams-OUT
Eric Ebron-OUT

Allen Robinson-WR1 JAX

Ask the Expert Question: What is your general strategy when it comes to injured stars?

A lot of big-name players have been trying to play through injuries, sometimes producing big games (Brandon Marshall), sometimes duds (Calvin Johnson, Jimmy Graham). Do you have a general strategy when it comes to injured stars, and has it changed at all this season?

I use a simple strategy that works most of the time. If a player is doubtful or out,  I do not start him period. If he is probable I start him if I think his projected stats are my best option but I monitor his situation closely and have a backup plan in case the "probable" player cannot go. For example, if he is a late game (4:30 pm) player I make sure I add a free agent that is playing in that time slot or later who can replace him if needed. If I have a flex spot it makes sense to put the player with questions in that spot so that either a RB/WR or TE can replace them in a late game. Players that are questionable usually play. A big factor in my mind is if they practice on the friday-that usually is a green light. Not practicing on Friday before the Sunday game is reason to bench him. I do not expect him to play in that case. There are always exceptions to the rule though. Some studs who have consistently shown an ability to play without practice do get the start but only if they have proven starts despite not practicing. This year has been a little chaotic but I have not changed my plans. One more thing-ignore most of the player comments about his health. They are not doctors. They tend to say whatever they believe, not necessarily what is true. 



ASK THE EXPERTS appears weekly at http://www.fantasyindex.com/ with answers to a new question posted Thursday morning.


Sam Hendricks is the author of Fantasy Football Guidebook, Fantasy Football Tips and Fantasy Football Basics , all available at his website, http://www.ffguidebook.com/, at all major bookstores, and at http://www.amazon.com/. He is a 20+ year fantasy football veteran who regularly participates in the National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC), Fantasy Football World Championship (FFWC) and finished 7th and 16th overall (out of 228 top players) in the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC).



Check out the latest book from Extra Point Press…a military thriller from Sam Hendricks Just One More...







Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:




Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650


http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837


Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634


http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95

http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Important-DET vs ATL starts at 9:30 AM Sunday EST



Important reminder-the London game between DET and ATL starts at 1:30 pm British Standard Time which will be 4 hours different then EST due to the USA changing clock time Sunday morning.


That Lions-Falcons game starts at 9:30 AM EST and 6:30 AM on the West Coast!!!!


So Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Mathew Stafford, Joqiue Bell and Reggie Bush and company all need to either be IN or OUT of your rosters by that time Sunday morning or you will find yourself with points from players you did not want starting or with players no longer available due to their game starting much earlier than the 1 pm normal start times.











Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:





Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Week 8 Pickems


Went 8-6 (87 confidence points) last week, missed on both of my upsets. 599 points for the year.
NOTES:
-15 confidence points goes to top team () all the way down to last upset () who gets 1 point.
-Point spread is in ()

Week 8
DAL (10) over WAS
DEN (9) over SD
CLE (7.5) over OAK
KC (7.5) over STL
MIA (7) over JAX
NE (7) over CHI
SEA (5) over CAR
IND (3) over PIT
DET (3.5) over ATL
NYJ (2.5) over BUF
HOU (1) over TEN
CIN (-) over BAL
NO (-) over GB


UPSETS
PHI over AZ (2.5)
MIN over TB(2.5)

Early IN/OUT Week 8, Zach Mettenberger QB starts for TEN

TNF: SD @ DEN
Sunday London DET vs ATL (Note 9:30 AM EST start)
SNF: GB @ NO
MNF: WAS @ DAL

Byes: NYG and SF

Wx Concerns:


----------------------------------------------------------
Out
Dennis Pita-OFS
Danny Woodhead-OFS
Tyler Eifert (thru wk 10)
Adrian Peterson-deactivated indefinitely
Ryan Mathews-sprained MCL (4-5 weeks)
Jerrel Jernigan NYG WR-OFS
Marcedes Lewis-Out until week 12 ST IR
Kyle Rudolph
Rod Streater-ST IR wk 13
Montee Ball-4 wks
Knowshon Moreno-OFS
Victor Cruz-OFS
Stevn Ridley-OFS
Marvin Jones-OFS
CJ Spiller
Fred Jackson
P Thomas
M Ball
Donald Brown
Ryan Mathews


DTD
Reggie Bush



Questionable




Doubtful

Not Expected To Play (NETP)



Game Time Decision (GTD)




Watch
TB QB?
M Bennett DNP W


New Starters
Zach Mettenberger-TEN QB
Denard Robinson-JAX RB (regardless of Gerhart health)
Andre Williams NYG RB
Ronnie Hillman DEN RB
Brandon Oliver SD RB
Jonthan Stewart
Brandon McNanus-DEN K 
Joique Bell
C McCoy




Probable (I am not going to list probables unless they are really strange-way to many players are probable these days)



Free Agent Pickups:
QB
R Tannehill
RG3 (for later)
Kyle Orton




RB
Denard Robinson
Tre Mason
Bryce Brown/A Dixon
D Thomas/D Williams-MIA
Chris Johnson
R Helu

WR
Eddie Royal
Davante Adams
John Brown
D Baldwin
K Stills
J Kearse
K Wright


TE
C Clay
Owen Daniels



K
Shayne Graham-NO
Matt Prater-DET
AZ Kicker



DEF
SD
DAL vs WAS
MIA




Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:





Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

FFGuidebook.com wins in 7 of 14 Leagues in Week 7

FFGuidebook.com improved to 57-41 after going 7-7 in week 7.

Realize too that most of the 14 leagues are either Expert leagues (where Fantasy Football Experts from the media compete) or high stakes contests where everyone has a high entry stake and I end up facing the best of the best. 

So having said that 7-7 is good. And I improved to 57-41 overall. 

Here is my record for the 2014 season to date: 
Week 1 8-6 (8-6)
Week 2 7-7 (15-13)
Week 3 6-8 (21-21) Not liking this trend!
Week 4 10-4 (31-25)
Week 5 11-3 (42-28)
Week 6 8-6 (50-34)
Week 7 7-7 (57-41)

Background-I play in 14 leagues this year ( I drafted in 16 but two were mock drafts for magazines with no leagues played out). Four of the 14 leagues are "Draft and Forget" or Draft Master Leagues with no lineup decisions or add/drops. All of the Draft Masters leagues are total points (TP) only and the FFPC $250 Satellite is TP too. In these leagues I consider it a win each week if I finish in the top half of the league in scoring. 

Leagues (Wins are bolded):
Fantasy Football World Championship (FFWC) $279 RotoBowl L 3-4 (3rd TP)
Fantasy Football World Championship (FFWC) $179 Qualifier W 3-4 (7th TP)
Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) $250 Classic L  (11th TP) (too far behind to catchup here I am afraid AP as 1.01 draft pick hurt)
Footballguys Players Championship (FPC) $350 W 6-1 (6th TP)
National Fantasy Football Championship (NFFC) $150 Sat W 5-2 (2nd TP)   
The Fantasy Championship (TFC) W 5-2 (4th TP)
Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) Bonini League W 5-2 (4th TP)
2 QB Experts League (FF Magican League) L 3-4 (5th TP)
Local League L 5-2 (1st TP)
Pro Forecast Magazine (their 2nd magazine of the year) PPR W 5-2 (4th TP)

DM Leagues
Pros vs Joes Competition League 1      L (8th TP)
Fantasy Football Index Auction League W (11th TP)
Fantasy Football World Championship (FFWC) $35 L 6th TP
Fantasy Football World Championship (FFWC) $77 L 8th TP

7-7 for week
57-41 for year








Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151

Books from Extra Point Press:




Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...

On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

Sunday, October 19, 2014