Thursday, August 21, 2014

2 QB Leagues-Strategies, Tips and Need to Know Information

2 QB LEAGUES
What is it all about? Well as the name implies you start two QB every week. This doubles the demand for QB. Any time you increase demand and keep the supply (only 1 starter per team, 32 starters) the same, the value for that position goes up. In 2 QB Leagues (2QBL) QB are worth about the same as RB and WR. It will depend on your league size, starters and scoring but in a start 2/2/2/1/1/1 plus a flex (R/W/T) the first 6 rounds saw 24 QB, 20 RB, 23 WR and 5 TE drafted.

But keep in mind much will depend on your leagues scoring rules, number of teams and starter requirements. For example, in 10 team leagues it is easier to draft 3 starting QBs whereas in a 12 team league not every team can have 3 QB. In fact, at most 8 can have 3 starting QB and 4 will have only 2 starter in most scenarios. 3 QB will be needed for bye weeks and injuries. Some leagues do not start 2 QB but instead allow them to flex which changes the demand for QB as well.

Scoring rules affect demand too. If a 2QBL uses 6 points for all TDS (including passing TDs) then QB like Cam Newton, RG3 and Johny Manziel will drop in the QB rankings. There premium in 4 point passing TD leagues is diminished when all TDs are 6 points. Likewise awarding points per receptions will help some RB and all WR and TE while pushing QB back a little in the overall rankings.
How are interceptions (INT) counted? Minus 1 point or minus 2 points? The more you penalize INT the more valuable the elite QB becomes. The same applies to 6 point TD passes. The more you have of them (elite QB have more TD), the more value to represent. Hint: Draft the elite QB earlier in a 6 point passing TD league and in leagues that penalize 2 or more points for INT.
By the same token starting more players at a given position will increase demand and thus value. If a league requires more than 2 RB or WR to start or allows a flex other than QB that can devalue QB in a 2QBL.

Why do a 2QBL?
In many cases this year QB is an afterthought. You can wait until the 10th round and get Tom Brady who is probably the 10th QB off the board. The position is just so deep this year that the top 17 or 18 QBs can give you a championship if managed well. A 2QBL elevates the QB importance in FF and why not do something to give the most important position in real football more relevance in FF.

Barriers to a 2QBL
Owners will complain that they have never done it before or that not every team will have enough QB or that the NFL does not allow 2 QB so why should your league. My answer to all those protests is simple. Keep playing in your TD only league because without change that is where you will be. 

What questions should you ask before joining a 2QBL
The first question is are trades allowed. If so having only 2 QB in this type of league is more manageable because you can often trade a low end QB2 to avoid a bye week problem. Of course you need to know all the rules of the league specifically scoring and starter requirements as mentioned above. Another question is are fumbles penalized. If they are rushing passers (see above) will inevitably lose some balls when running for their lives.

What are the main strategies in a 2QBL
There are 4 major strategies:
1  1) Stud and Dud-Grab the best QB1 you can and then draft two QB2 that you can platoon to get another QB1 type performance from each week. This QB-by-committee approach (QBBC) requires 3 QB for bye week and injuries. The key is to keep track of how many QB have been drafted and by whom. You have to get two QB2! You also need to be flexible about whom you are using to platoon. Footballguys.com has a great article annually about the QBBC for leagues that start 1 QB but the information can also be used as your QBBC in a 2QBL. Another tip-make sure your two tier 2 QB cover the bye of QB1 well.
  2) Stud QB-Draft the two best QB you can (Start draft QB-QB)-You are guaranteed to have a QB1 and probably two QB1. The downside of this strategy is you sacrifice a top RB and WR in the process. But it can be awfully sweet watching your opponents complain when they face Aaron Rodgers and Cam Newton every week.
  3) QBBC-Wait on QB (also known as the Late Round QB (LRQB))-In this strategy you draft 3-4 QB late in the draft and rotate them to suit the matchups. It may be hard to use this strategy in a 12-team league since QB fly off the board quicker. It really is a boom or bust strategy. If you hit on one of your late round QB you can have a great season, on the other hand if all 3 of your QB flop it can be a long season starting two failures each week. One thing is certain-you must be an active manager to play the matchups in this tactic. JJ Zachariason has an ebook out about this.
  4)     Cheap QB-Wait on QB. Get two and hopefully three QB from Tier 2 but wait and get the last ones from that grouping. You still need to play the matchups but with only 2 QB you accept a reduced QB score with the hope that your RB and WR players make up for the QB let down.


Any other tips
In 2QBL leagues I only use three tiers of QB. I rank 35 unless I have a deep bench in which case I can handcuff a QB and rank more. 35 is a good number because of the 32 starters and then a few where the starters can go between two people-think CLE, MIN and NYJ this year.  I separate all of the draftable QBs into three groups or tiers called: QB1, QB2, and QB3. QB1 usually has around 15-these are your top starters and even those who fill in on bye weeks as top starters. QB2 consists of another 12-15 who complete the no-kidding clear starters. After this the QB3 are all unknowns for various reasons. The backup QB also fit into this category. Bottom line try and draft a QB1 and QB2 and dip into the QB3 only with caution or as a handcuff if you have the depth on your bench. This year I have 17 in QB1 (Peyton Manning through Andy Dalton and Ben Rothelisberger) and 12 more in QB2 (Eli Manning down to Jake Locker) and finish with 15 in the QB3 (Johny Manziel through Blake Bortles).

How Does Your Draft Spot Affect Strategy
If you have a chance at the stud RB (4-5), Jimmy Graham or top WR (Calvin Johnson or Demaryious Thomas) draft them. Then go for the top 3 QBs. The flip side of that is why not go with a safer QB (PM, Rodgers or Brees) rather than take a risk on a RB who fails to make the Top 10 50% of the time each year. The scoring will push a QB further up to the top spot. -2 for INT or 6 point for pass TD all make the elite QB more of a top 3 pick.


What can I expect in a 2QBL

QB will be drafted early and often. The top 3 or 4 will go in the first round. Another 3-4 will go in the 2nd round. I have even seen 15 QBs go in the first two rounds (6 pt passing TD, -2 INT). I expect all of the tier 1 QB (12-15) will be gone by the end of round 3. Then 3-4 each round through the 12 or 13th when they are depleted. In 2QBL that starts 2/2/2/1/1/1 plus a flex I expect useable starters to be 28 QB, 36 RB, 36 WR and 15 TE. This accounts for byes and injuries and flex positions.




Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151

Books from Extra Point Press:




Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...

On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

2 QB League FFGuidebook.com Team


Here is the FFGuidebook.com team from the recent FFMagicMan 2 QB Invitational Expert league.

Details
-12 teams
-start 2 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE and 1 Flex (R/W/T) no kickers or defenses
-It was 13 rounds so limited bench space.
-Scoring: PPR, 4 Pass TD, -2 INT/Fumbles

Thoughts:
-Since 2 QB start they went fast. 12 in first 3 rounds. 12 more in the next 3 rounds (24 thru rd 6). The 7th and 8th saw only 2 QB drafted both by the same team as he doubled up to catch up with Matt Schaub and Sam Bradford. 9/10 saw the remaining serviceable QB come off the board. The final 3 rounds (11-13) saw 6 lottery ticket QB drafted (Bridgewater, Bortles, Carr, Cassel, Hoyer and Osweiller).
-More TE were drafted (20) than I expected. One team even drafted 3 TE. 6 drafted 2 TE, 5 including myself went single TE.
-Only 11 RBs went in the first 3 rounds. Value could be had at the position. Reggie Bush in the 6th was a steal!


QB
Matt Ryan-ATL/9 (3.05) -I pondered Ryan in the 2nd rd but waited and got him in the 3rd. I have big expectations for him with a healthy pair in Roddy White and Julio Jones.
 
Eli Manning-NYG/8 (5.05)- I wanted Ryan Tannehill but he went two picks earlier to Dennis Esser (he stole quite a few of my picks).
Need Eli to have a huge comeback season and he could with the new WC scheme their OC runs. But he has not looked good in the preseason. On bright side he has easy schedule but his INT could kill me in this league (-2 pts)

Ryan Fitzpatrick-HOU/10 (9.05)-Was the equivalent of a QB 10 in 11 starts in 13' so I got that going for me. Great schedule as he faces division opponents and WAS, OAK and the NYG. Hoping a QBBC with him and Manning produces QB1 numbers.

RB

Adrian Peterson-MIN/10 (1.05) I wanted Peyton, Brees or Rodgers but they were drafted ahead of me. So I went with my homer pick of the Top 4 Stud RBs-AP. Norv Turner as OC means a ton more catches and points in this PPR league.

Marshawn Lynch-SEA/4 (2.08) I am going to be totally honest-I blew this one. I planned for AP in the 1st and then mocked to take Brandon Marshall in the 2nd to secure a stud WR. But 4 more QB flew off the board and I pondered pulling the trigger early on Matt Ryan my number 6 ranked QB. I decided to wait it out and try and get him in the third-it worked! But I could not find Marshall in the draft software player list (he was much lower than I ranked him) and so with 5 seconds left I took Lynch. Time will tell...

C.J. Spiller-BUF/9 (6.08) I wanted Spiller but Witten was still on the board starting the 6th. If J Witten had made it back to me I would have taken him, as it was Jennifer Millman made me choice easy when she took Witten. I am quite happy to have Spiller in the 6th as my flex player.

DeAngelo Williams-CAR/12 (11.05) A lottery ticket.

Shonn Greene-TEN/9 (13.05) I like him better than Williams to break into my lineup. Everyone has anointed Bishop Sankey as the TEN RB by default but until we see week 1 Greene has a chance to start.

WR

Andre Johnson-HOU/10 (4.08) I am going to stop taking him since I have him in so many of my leagues this year. I like the Fitzpatrick to Johnson connection better than what AJ had last year. I actually was hoping another Andre made it me, but Ellington was drafted five spots before me.

Kendall Wright-TEN/9 (7.05) DO NOT SLEEP on this guy! He had an insane amount of catches in 13'.

Mike Wallace-MIA/5 (8.08) #1 WR in MIA and the dolphins have figured out how to move him and get him open more.

Mike Evans-TB/7 (12.08) Love him as the #2 guy beside VJAX. The tall receiver is going to be better than Watkins this year. ROY possibility.

TE
Greg Olsen-CAR/12 (10.08) Best pick of the draft. I cannot believe Olsen was the 12 TE drafted. SHOCKED. Zach Ertz and Ladarius Green went in the 12th before Olsen. Don't get me wrong I love those guys too this year but not as much as Olsen since Cam has lost all of his WR.

Overall: I hate my team. I should have gone with Brandon Marshall in the 2nd, Zac Stacy in the 4th and then Larry Fitzgerald or Victor Cruz in the 5th passing on Eli and grabbing Sam Bradford in the 8th then Ryan Fitzpatrick in the 9th. Oh well. Time will tell. 




Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:





Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

Wednesday, August 20, 2014

Footballguys Players Championship Team FFGuidebook.com

Let's look at one of my drafted teams from this week.
In this case it is a FPC league and I drafted from the 10th spot.
 
Footballguys Players Championship offers high stakes prizes for mid stakes entry fees. $350 gets you a spot in a league and if you buy 3 teams you can get them for $1,0000 saving $50.
 
The overall Champion wins a Grand Prize of $300,000
Let me repeat-$300,000

The championship round pays down to the 650th spot. Crazy I know. League prizes are good too-$1,500 cash (or a 2015 FFPC Main Event team worth $1,700) for first place and $500 for 2nd place.

Hurry up and sign up! Drafts happen every day at multiple times!

This is the 5th year of the FPC sponsored by www.footballguys.com and FFPC. I have played every year. This draft took place this weekend on Sunday at 1pm.

Who should I draft? Who will be available? 
My estimate was that the top 5 RBs are gone (JC, McCoy, AP, Forte and Lacey), Jimmy Graham is gone (it is a 1.5 PPR for TE) and Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant and Demaryious Thomas are taken.
This leaves me with AJ Green, Julio Jones or Brandon Marshall, Gronk (too early in 1st for me) or Demarco Murray, Gio Bernard, Monte Ball, LeVeon Bell or any of the other RB questions.

Dez Bryant was available so I drafted him with the 1.10. See the rest of my team below.

QB
Ben Rothelisberger 14.03
Eli Manning 15.10

RB
Doug Martin 3.10
Toby Gerhart 4.03
MJD 8.03
DeAngelo Williams 9.10
Darren McFadden 10.03
Shonn Greene 16.03

WR
Dez Bryant 1.10
Jordy Nelson 2.03
Corderrelle Patterson 5.10
Eric Decker 7.10
Tavon Austin 11.10
Danny Amendola 13.10
Robert Woods 17.10
Nate Burleson 20.03

TE
Greg Olsen 6.03
Garrett Graham 12.03

K
Phil Dawson 18.03

DEF
CHI 19.10

I am not happy with it. QB and RB is weak. WR is stronger and TE is good IMO. But I went too heavy on WR. Arg!



 



Don't miss out!

Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:





Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693

Top 30 QB Fantasy Football Rankings






QB      
-Start 1QB / 2RB / 3WR / 1TE / 1Flex / 1PK /1DT )
1 Peyton Manning-DEN (4)              
2 Drew Brees-NO (6) 35?                          
3 Aaron Rodgers-GB (9)                
----------Bet on the Top 3----------
4 Mathew Stafford-DET (9) G Tate and Eric Ebron TE help
5 Andrew Luck-IND (10) (may throw more this year)     
6 Matt Ryan-ATL (9) Got OL help      Wait on him!
7 RG3-WAS (10)                               
8 Nick Foles-PHI (7)                         
9 Cam Newton-CAR (12)                 Top 4 sleeper
10 Tom Brady-NE (10)                   
11 Russell Wilson-SEA (4)                 
12 Jay Cutler-CHI (9)
13 Colin Kaepernick-SF (8)               
14 Philip Rivers-SD (10)                  
15 Tony Romo-DAL (11) Sleeper     -dropping due to back problems and long ball issues!
-------------------------------------------------
16 Andy Dalton-CIN (4)                         
17 Ben Roethlisberger-PIT (12)            
18 Ryan Tannehill-MIA (5) OL Help   
19 Eli Manning-NYG (8) WC offense-Sleeper
19 Alex Smith-KC (6)                        
21 Carson Palmer-AZ (4)
22 Sam Bradford-STL (4)
23 Joe Flacco-BAL (11)                     
24 Josh McCown-TB (7) Mike Evans 
25 E. J. Manuel-BUF (9) Sammy Watkins
26 Jake Locker-TEN (9)
27 R Fitzpatrick/C Keenum/T Savage ®-HOU (10)
28 Matt Schaub/Derek Carr ®-OAK (5) (D Carr to sit for 1st yr)
29 C Henne-JAX /Blake Bortles ® (11) (plan is to keep Bortles offfield in 13’
30 Geno Smith/Mike Vick-NYJ (11)
31 Johnny Manziel ®/ Hoyer-CLE © / (4)
32 Teddy Bridgewater ®/Cassel-MIN (10)
 




Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:





Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837

Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-basics-sam-hendricks/1030680433

Introducing a military thriller from Award Winning author Sam Hendricks- Just One More...


On a fateful night in Afghanistan, a flawed NATO airstrike sets into motion a chain of events that reaches across the world, from Vancouver to Copenhagen to London. How far will one person go for revenge?
In the sleepy English countryside, an F15E Strike Eagle team gears up for a live weapons mission. Can lead pilot "Rider" keep his head in the game and overcome the demons of his past? Hundreds of lives will depend on the answer as a deadly Al Qaeda terrorist cell, and maverick CIA and MI6 agents descend on US soil in a jaw-dropping climax where anything goes.

Just One More... $9.95
http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428642

BN.com (9.95)
http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/just-one-more-sam-hendricks/1024930949?ean=9780982428641

Other Fantasy Sports Books from Extra Point Press

Fantasy Baseball for Beginners: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide ($10.95) www.amazon.com/dp/0982428693