Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Draft Strategy 2014 WRs

I have drafted in five fantasy football drafts so far the past two weeks.
Several have been Expert drafts for upcoming fantasy football magazines (Pro Forecast magazine both their PPR and Non-PPR leagues) and a mock for the Pro's vs Joe's FFPC League coming up this summer. No dead money teams in these leagues. Check out my previous posts for more info and for the QB and RB detailed  explanation.

Here are my observations/strategies going into the draft season based on some early Expert drafts and mock drafts. 

QB-WAIT ON QB. You can get a good QB1 in the later rounds and not give up too much over a QB5 or 6.  So wait and get your first QB AFTER everyone else has drafted their QB. This means drafting your first QB in round 10 or later in many cases. And often you have your Q10 or Q11 available because opinions differ on these mid range QBs. For more on the QB strategy/situation see my blog post from Saturday 24 May. For RB details see the post on Sunday 25 May.

RBs-Top 4 are gold and the rest of the top 12 are busts waiting to happen. Typcially every year only about 50% of the top 10 RBs produce and finish there.

Here are my Top 4:
Note Does not change much for PPR or Non-PPR leagues-the best are the best.


1 Jamaal Charles-KC (6)
2 Adrian Peterson-MIN (10)
3 LeSean McCoy-PHI (7)
4 Matt Forte-CHI (9)

I love the top 4 and then have reservations drafting any of the next 6 in the first round. So….if you have a top 6 pick and any of the top 4 RBs fall to you-draft him with confidence. After that I am taking a great WR in the first round. 

My advice is go RB with an early pick if you can get one of the Top 5-if not go with a stud WR. Follow that up with another stud WR. If a great WR or TE is a steal in the 3rd do not hesitate to draft him knowing that there are starting RBs in the 4th-6th round.

WR-I love the Top 10 WRs and draft them over the RBs other than the Top 4 (Charles, AP, McCoy and Forte). 

WR-WR to start is tempting with the 5th pick or later in most drafts. With a WR-WR start the next 4 rounds are catching up on RBs and a TE. That means stockpiling WRs in the mid to late rounds. Last year 23 WRs had over 1000 yards receiving. There is value at WR in the mid rounds. 

WRs are valued about the same as RBs this year (especially in PPR leagues) due to the proliferation of the passing game in the NFL. So give serious consideration to either a WR or RB in the mid rounds depending on whichever is a steal. The days of blindly drafting RBs until you cannot stand it anymore are over. Just remember the WR talent starts to thin out after about WR45-after that you are just making educated guesses on long shots you hope will hit. That is about the time to go rookie WR in Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Odell Beckham etc and even take a flyer on Josh Gordon (based on a hope that he plays 8 games after getting his year long suspension reduced on appeal). 

After you have your starting 3 WRs in a start 3 league or start 2 and a flex, then you can take some chances. Speaking of chances I am staying away from Brandin Cooks NO WR rookie. He should have a few good games but the chances he is in your lineup for them is smaller. I like him in draft masters formats where you do not have to set a lineup!

I love Michael Floyd, Kendall Wright and even Reuben Randle if he keeps falling.







Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:









Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837


Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634




Fantasy Hockey: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide for Fantasy Hockey Players ($14.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635100






Fantasy Basketball Handbook: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide for Beginners and Experienced Players ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635097



http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-basketball-handbook-sam-hendricks/1107640391

Fantasy Football Tips (2nd Edition): 230 Ways to Win through Player Rankings, Cheat Sheets and Better Drafting ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635151


Books from Extra Point Press:









Fantasy Football Guidebook (2nd Edition): Your Comprehensive Guide to Playing Fantasy Football ($19.95) http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428650

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-football-guidebook-sam-hendricks/1008633837


Fantasy Football Basics: The Ultimate "How to" Guide for Beginners available ($10.95) at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/dp/0982428634




Fantasy Hockey: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide for Fantasy Hockey Players ($14.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635100






Fantasy Basketball Handbook: The Ultimate "How-to" Guide for Beginners and Experienced Players ($12.95) www.amazon.com/dp/1936635097



http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/fantasy-basketball-handbook-sam-hendricks/1107640391

1 comment:

sojon kumar said...

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